Temporary decline in inflation spurs further improvement in financial health of the UK consumers
UK consumers' financial wellbeing improved for the fourth successive quarter, according to Alliance Trust's ongoing study. In the fourth quarter of 2009, Alliance Trust’s UK Financial Reality Index rose from 80.3 to 97.7, primarily due to lower levels of inflation and good stock market performance over the year. This is the highest index level recorded since Q2 2004. However, although this improvement is clearly good news, the index remains below the critical level of 100, indicating that consumers’ financial health remains generally weak.
Shona Dobbie, Head of the Alliance Trust Research Centre, said, "While it is encouraging to see our index of consumers' financial wellbeing improving once again, this has been largely due to the temporary drop in inflation and consumers continue to face negative pressures from the relatively weak labour market and subdued economic activity. Lower inflation combined with exceptionally low levels of interest rates have undoubtedly eased some budget pressures, and the rise in the stock market over the last year has boosted household wealth. However, the overall financial situation facing households is still clouded by the uncertain economic outlook and the possibility that unemployment could rise further.
Our index, which has been a good predictor of consumer expenditure, suggests that there will be some improvement in consumer spending, but that this is still likely to remain relatively weak in the coming months. Unfortunately, the prospect of higher inflation in the months ahead means that any improvement could prove to be only temporary, as financial conditions worsen once more."
View the full Press Release here.
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