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15 July 2008
PENSIONERS HIT HARDEST BY SURGING FOOD PRICES AND RISING INFLATION
·
The inflation
rate facing the over 75 year olds surged to 5.4% in June. This is the highest
level inflation has reached in the history of our six year study and is also 42%
higher than the official rate of inflation of
3.8%.
·
Food prices
have jumped by almost 11% over the last year, electricity prices have risen by over
11%, and petrol prices are up 24%.
Rising basic good prices hit the elderly hardest as they spend a higher proportion
of their budget on such goods.
·
This month
also marked the first time that the 30 to 49 year olds have faced an inflation
rate in excess of 4%.
·
Alliance Trust
Research Centre warns that rising prices for basic goods could push inflation even
higher over the next few months, forcing the authorities to leave interest
rates higher for longer.
Alliance
Trust’s independent study of age related inflation has found that the over 75
year olds continue to be hit the hardest by surging inflation - this age group saw
their inflation rate increase from 4.8% to 5.4% in June. The inflation rates
facing all other identified age groups have also increased and the majority are
running ahead of the official headline rate of inflation of 3.8%.
|
Age Group |
Inflation Rate |
|
Under 30 |
3.8% |
|
30-49 Year Olds |
4.2% |
|
50-64 Year Olds |
4.7% |
|
65-74 Year Olds |
4.9% |
|
75 and Over |
5.4% |
Inflation continues to be driven by
sharply rising basic goods prices. The over 75 year olds are hardest hit by
surging food prices, which have risen by almost 11% over the last year. This
hits the over 75 year olds hardest as they allocate 16% of their household
budget to food compared to less than 9% for the under 30 households. Within
this, dairy prices have risen over 19% and oil and fat prices are up over 28%.
In each of these categories the over 75 year olds allocate almost double the
proportion of their household budgets when compared to the younger households.
The over 75 year olds are also hit hardest by higher electricity and gas prices
which rose 11% and 10% respectively. This age group spends almost 7% of their
budget on electricity and gas bills whereas the under 30 households spend just
3% on such utilities.
In contrast, younger generations spend
a higher proportion of their incomes on clothing, footwear and audio-visual
goods, where prices are continuing to fall. This benefits the under 30s who
spend 6% of their budget on clothing, almost double the amount allocated by the
over 75 year olds. This is reflected by the fact that their inflation rate is
running in line with the official rate of inflation of 3.8%.
Spending
Weights
|
Age Group |
Food |
Electricity |
Gas |
Petrol |
|
Under 30 |
8.5% |
1.6% |
1.4% |
4.2% |
|
30-49 Year Olds |
10.6% |
1.8% |
1.6% |
5.1% |
|
50-64 Year Olds |
11.6% |
2.0% |
1.9% |
5.1% |
|
65-74 Year Olds |
13.8% |
2.5% |
2.5% |
4.5% |
|
75 and Over |
16.3% |
3.4% |
3.5% |
2.5% |
Note:
This table shows the spending patterns of different age groups across different
spending categories.
These
findings confirm that the elevated level of inflation facing the older age
groups is worsening. Inflation is being driven by high price increases for
food, fuel and utilities.
Shona
Dobbie, Head of the
“This pick up
in inflation is particularly worrying for the consumer as it is being driven by
higher prices for basic goods and services. This leaves us all with less money
to spend on the items where prices continue to fall. Unfortunately,
we expect little respite from this situation over the next couple of months as
the oil price is expected to remain high and gas and electricity prices are
expected to move higher. This means that headline inflation is likely to rise a
bit further in the next few months. The danger is that this high level of
inflation forces policy makers to leave interest rates higher for longer,
increasing the risk of an even greater slowdown in demand and threatening the
economy as a whole”
You can obtain a copy of the
report by emailing contact@alliancetrust.co.uk or phoning
08000 326323.
Contacts
Christopher Dodds, Press Officer Anna Schirmer / Tel +44
(0)1382 306064 Tel +44 (0)20 7490 8828 Email Christopher.dodds@alliancetrust.co.uk Email Web www.alliancetrust.co.uk |
Notes to editors
1. Alliance Trust
is an international investment and financial services group. It is headed by
2. The Research
Centre is part of
3. Photographs of Shona Dobbie are available.
4. Inflation and
Age chart illustrated below.
Inflation and Age (Jan 2006 to June 2008)
