14 July 2009

 

INFLATION RATE FACING ELDERLY DROPS SHARPLY TO 2.8% BUT GAP BETWEEN OLD AND YOUNG WIDENS FURTHER

 

·         Latest figures from Alliance Trust Research Centre show the inflation rate facing over 75 year olds fell from 3.6% to 2.8% in June, the lowest rate recorded for this age group since January 2008. However, despite the improvement, this rate of inflation is still 56% higher than the official rate of inflation of 1.8%

·         The gap between inflation rates facing the young and old has widened further this month, with the elderly facing an inflation rate 75% higher than the under 30 year olds

·         Gas and electricity prices were both unchanged over the month, and food prices fell back by 0.3%, but the recent surge in the oil price resulted in a rise in petrol prices of almost 4%

·         Although the headline rate of inflation continues to decline, basic goods inflation remains relatively high at 3.4%, and it is this rate which impacts most on the elderly

 

This month’s official inflation report showed that the headline rate of inflation fell to a rate of just 1.8%. Alliance Trust’s monthly study of age related inflation rates also reveals a drop in the inflation rate facing all age groups, with the rate of inflation facing the elderly decreasing the most, by 0.8%. However, despite this sharp drop, the elderly still face the highest rate of inflation, at 2.8%. This is because households in this age group spend the highest proportion of their budgets on basic goods and services, such as utilities and food; where price inflation remains relatively high. The over-75s face an inflation rate that is now 56% above the headline rate and 75% higher than the inflation rate facing the under 30 year olds. The 65-74 year old age group faces the second highest rate of inflation, at 2.3%.

 

Shona Dobbie, Head of the Alliance Trust Research Centre, said, "Although it is encouraging to see the inflationary pressures facing the elderly start to recede, the rate of inflation facing this age group remains persistently higher than for any of the other age groups. This group’s current rate of inflation, at 2.8%, is much greater than the official rate of inflation of 1.8%. The benefits of falling prices continue to come through more slowly for the elderly, who spend a larger share of their budgets on the basic goods and services; where price falls have been more limited.

 

Age Group

Inflation Rate

Under 30

1.6%

30-49 Year Olds

1.7%

50-64 Year Olds

1.8%

65-74 Year Olds

2.3%

75 and Over

2.8%

 

Utility price inflation remains high, at 11%. Electricity price inflation is currently below 7%, but gas price inflation is much higher, at 24%. These basic price pressures will always hit the over 75 year olds the hardest, as this age group spends more than 7% of their budget on electricity and gas bills; whereas the under 30 year olds spend just over 3% on these services.

 

Over 75 year olds also suffer when food prices are high. Although food price inflation has declined this month, the downward trend has been limited, and food price inflation is close to 6%. This again hits the over-75s most acutely, since they allocate more than 16% of their household budget to food, compared to just 9% for the under-30s. In addition, although total food price inflation declined, inflation for many basic food items remains high. Both meat and vegetable prices are almost 7% higher than at this time last year; fruit prices have risen by 5%; and bread and cereal prices by 4%. All of these price moves are much higher than the official rate of inflation.

 

In contrast to the elderly, the under 30s face an inflation rate which is lower than the official rate, at just 1.6%. This youngest age group continues to benefit from the fact that they spend a higher proportion of their income on discretionary items, such as audio-visual goods, clothing and footwear; where prices continue to fall sharply. Over the last year, the prices of audio-visual goods have fallen by 11%; clothing prices have dropped by almost 10%; and footwear prices by more than 4%. The under 30s spend almost 6% of their budget on clothing and footwear, compared to the 4% allocated by the over 75 year olds.

 

 

 

 

Spending Weights

Age Group

Food

Electricity

Gas

Petrol

Clothing/ Footwear

Under 30

9.0%

1.8%

1.5%

4.3%

5.9%

30-49 Year Olds

10.9%

2.0%

1.8%

5.0%

6.3%

50-64 Year Olds

11.6%

2.2%

2.0%

5.2%

5.7%

65-74 Year Olds

14.4%

2.7%

2.5%

4.6%

4.7%

75 and Over

16.4%

3.7%

3.5%

3.2%

3.9%

Note: This table shows the spending patterns of different age groups across different spending categories

 

Shona Dobbie added, “Inflation continues to fall back and the pace of improvement this month has been encouraging. However, we should be aware that not all price pressures are easing in a similar way.”

 

“The prices of basic goods and services may have fallen, but inflation in this category remains relatively high, and this continues to hit the elderly in particular. With no improvement in either gas or electricity price inflation, and with food prices remaining high, elderly households are hit particularly hard, leaving them with less money to spend elsewhere. Although younger age groups are also hit by high costs for basic goods, they spend proportionately more of their income on discretionary items, where prices continue to fall quite sharply.”

 

“In addition, the gap between the inflation rates facing the young and elderly has widened further this month, to 75%. This quite clearly illustrates our concerns regarding the extent to which the elderly are not reaping the same relative benefits of easing prices.”

 

 

Alliance Trust’s full latest report on ‘Inflation and Age’ is available on www.alliancetrust.co.uk

 

You can obtain a copy of the report by emailing contact@alliancetrust.co.uk or phoning 08000 326323.

 

 

Contacts

 

 

 

Jane Holligan, Communications Manager

Anjali Unnikrishnan

Alliance Trust

Finsbury Group

Tel: +44 (0)1382 306 064

Tel: +44 (0)20 7251 3801

Email: jane.holligan@alliancetrust.co.uk

Email: alliancetrust@finsbury.com

Web: www.alliancetrust.co.uk

Web: www.finsbury.com

 

 

Notes to editors

 

1.       Alliance Trust PLC is a self-managed investment company with investment trust status. A FTSE-100 company, it is the largest generalist UK investment trust by market value listed on the London Stock Exchange.

 

2.       The Research Centre is part of Alliance Trust and was formed to carry out economic and social analysis to deepen our understanding of economies, markets and socio-economic issues.

 

3.       Photographs of Shona Dobbie are available on request.

 

4.       Inflation and age chart is shown below.

 

Inflation and Age (January 2007 to June 2009)

Source: In-house