18 August 2009

 

NO PROGRESS FOR ELDERLY AS INFLATION DECLINE STALLS

·         Latest figures from Alliance Trust Research Centre show the inflation rate facing over 75 year olds remained unchanged at 2.8% in July, 56% higher than the official rate of inflation of 1.8%

·         The gap between inflation rates facing the young and old has narrowed this month due to an increase in the rate of inflation facing the young. However, the elderly currently face an inflation rate 56% higher than the under 30 year olds

·         Our three working age groups all face a similar rate of inflation, of close to 1.8%, but our two retirement age groups face higher inflation. The 65-75 year olds face an inflation rate of 2.3% and the over 75s face an inflation rate of 2.8%

·         During the month, gas prices fell 0.4%, electricity prices were unchanged and food prices fell back 0.6%, but the recent surge in the oil price resulted in a 0.7% rise in petrol prices

 

This month’s official inflation report showed that the headline rate of inflation remained constant at 1.8%. Alliance Trust’s monthly study of age-related inflation rates reveals that this is the rate of inflation facing working age groups, but that retired households face greater price pressures. The 65-74 year olds face an inflation rate of 2.3%, which is 28% higher than the official rate, whilst the over 75 year olds face an inflation rate of 2.8%, 56% higher than the official rate. This is because retired households typically spend a higher proportion of their budgets on basic goods and services, such as utilities and food; where price inflation remains relatively high.

 

Shona Dobbie, Head of the Alliance Trust Research Centre, said, "It is disappointing to see that inflationary pressures facing the elderly have not receded this month. Recent declines in overall inflation have stalled and the inflation rates facing the two retirement age groups remain persistently higher than for any of the other age groups. The 65-74 year olds face a rate of inflation of 2.3%, and the over 75 year olds face a rate of inflation of 2.8%, both of which are significantly higher than the official rate of inflation of 1.8%. The benefits of falling prices are still coming through more slowly for the elderly, who spend a larger share of their budgets on basic goods and services.”

 

Age Group

Inflation Rate

Under 30

1.8%

30-49 Year Olds

1.8%

50-64 Year Olds

1.8%

65-74 Year Olds

2.3%

75 and Over

2.8%

 

Utility price inflation remains relatively high, at almost 10%. Electricity price inflation is below 7%, but gas price inflation remains much higher, at almost 23%. These basic price pressures hit the over-75 year olds the hardest, as this age group spends more than 7% of their budget on electricity and gas bills; whereas the under 30 year olds spend just over 3% on these services.

 

Over 75 year olds also suffer when food prices are high. Although food price inflation has declined again this month, this remains above 4%, much higher than the overall rate of inflation. This trend again hits the over 75s most acutely, as they allocate more than 16% of their household budget to food, compared to just 9% for the under-30s.

 

This month, the under 30s and the 30-49 year old age groups saw a rise in their inflation rates, to 1.8% in both cases. These younger age groups have been hit this month by a 0.9% increase in rents, a 3% rise in second hand car prices and a 4.6% rise in transport service prices. These effects outweighed the ongoing benefit from the fact that price inflation in audio-visual goods, clothing and footwear continues to fall sharply. Over the last year, the prices of audio-visual goods have fallen by more than 10%; clothing prices have dropped by almost 10%; and footwear prices by more than 5%. The under-30s spend almost 6% of their budget on clothing and footwear, compared to the 4% allocated by the over 75 year olds.

 

Spending Weights

Age Group

Food

Electricity

Gas

Petrol

Clothing/ Footwear

Under 30

9.0%

1.8%

1.5%

4.3%

5.9%

30-49 Year Olds

10.9%

2.0%

1.8%

5.0%

6.3%

50-64 Year Olds

11.6%

2.2%

2.0%

5.2%

5.7%

65-74 Year Olds

14.4%

2.7%

2.5%

4.6%

4.7%

75 and Over

16.4%

3.7%

3.5%

3.2%

3.9%

Note: This table shows the spending patterns of different age groups across different spending categories

 

Shona Dobbie added, “Inflation in basic goods and services remains relatively high, and this continues to hit the elderly in particular. With little improvement in either gas or electricity price inflation, and with food price inflation remaining relatively high, retired households are facing inflation rates which are higher than those facing working age groups. Although younger age groups are also affected by high costs for basic goods, they spend proportionately more of their income on discretionary items, where prices continue to fall quite sharply.”

 

“However, this month we have seen the inflation rates facing the under 30s and 30-49 year olds increase, narrowing the gap between the inflation rates facing the young and elderly. We expect to see this gap narrow further over the next few months, as inflationary pressures abate.”

 

 

Alliance Trust’s full latest report on ‘Inflation and Age’ is available on www.alliancetrust.co.uk

 

You can obtain a copy of the report by emailing contact@alliancetrust.co.uk or phoning 08000 326323.

 

 

Contacts

 

 

 

Jane Holligan, Communications Manager

Clare Dundas/ Anjali Unnikrishnan

Alliance Trust

Finsbury Group

Tel: +44 (0)1382 306 064

Tel: +44 (0)20 7251 3801

Email: jane.holligan@alliancetrust.co.uk

Email: alliancetrust@finsbury.com

Web: www.alliancetrust.co.uk

Web: www.finsbury.com

 

 

Notes to editors

 

1.       Alliance Trust PLC is a self-managed investment company with investment trust status. A FTSE-100 company, it is the largest generalist UK investment trust by market value listed on the London Stock Exchange.

 

2.       The Research Centre is part of Alliance Trust and was formed to carry out economic and social analysis to deepen our understanding of economies, markets and socio-economic issues.

 

3.       Photographs of Shona Dobbie are available on request.

 

4.       Inflation and age chart is shown below.

 

Inflation and Age (January 2007 to July 2009)

Source: In-house